tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Little Rock → Washington via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 30%

  1. 17:38 LIT → 19:14 DFW
    AA 4008 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 36m · 61% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 DFW → 23:59 DCA
    AA 2077 · American · 2h 59m · 64% on time, 6.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Little Rock). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (6.7% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 21mLIT 17:38 to DCA 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.