tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Detroit via Chicago: arrives on time 77%

  1. 09:13 MSN → 10:30 ORD
    AA 4018 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 17m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 37m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:07 ORD → 16:40 DTW
    DL 1716 · Delta · 1h 33m · 78% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 127 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 37m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 27mMSN 09:13 to DTW 16:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.