tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pensacola → Atlanta via Chicago: arrives on time 37%

  1. 15:15 PNS → 18:02 ORD
    AA 4023 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 47m · 78% on time, 2.1% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:59 ORD → 22:05 ATL
    AA 2779 · American · 2h 04m · 51% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Pensacola). Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (2.1% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip5h 48mPNS 15:15 to ATL 22:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.