tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Dallas-Fort Worth via Phoenix: arrives on time 75%

  1. 09:45 SBA → 11:23 PHX
    AA 4031 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 38m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 12m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:35 PHX → 18:09 DFW
    AA 2767 · American · 2h 34m · 79% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Santa Barbara). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 87 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 12m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 24mSBA 09:45 to DFW 18:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.