tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Seattle via Phoenix: arrives on time 81%

  1. 09:45 SBA → 11:23 PHX
    AA 4031 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 38m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:35 PHX → 17:44 SEA
    AA 4035 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 09m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 13 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 59mSBA 09:45 to SEA 17:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.