tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Barbara → Sacramento via Phoenix: arrives on time 83%

  1. 09:45 SBA → 11:23 PHX
    AA 4031 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 38m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 12m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:35 PHX → 15:43 SMF
    AA 6354 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 08m · 87% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 87 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 12m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 58mSBA 09:45 to SMF 15:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.