tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 57%

  1. 15:55 MSN → 17:02 ORD
    AA 4038 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 07m · 41% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:47 ORD → 21:59 CLT
    AA 689 · American · 2h 12m · 68% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 04mMSN 15:55 to CLT 21:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.