tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Los Angeles via Phoenix: arrives on time 58%

  1. 08:52 TUL → 09:32 PHX
    AA 4038 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 40m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:36 PHX → 12:06 LAX
    AA 2869 · American · 1h 30m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 14mTUL 08:52 to LAX 12:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.