tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → San Diego via Phoenix: arrives on time 78%

  1. 08:52 TUL → 09:32 PHX
    AA 4038 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 40m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 33m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:05 PHX → 14:33 SAN
    AS 3028 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 28m · 80% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 2 h behind Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 33m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 41mTUL 08:52 to SAN 14:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.