tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Phoenix via Miami: arrives on time 73%

  1. 06:00 XNA → 09:47 MIA
    AA 4052 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 47m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:59 MIA → 12:56 PHX
    AA 3172 · American · 4h 48m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 47mXNA 06:00 to PHX 12:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.