tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Syracuse → Chicago via Washington: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:03 SYR → 07:34 DCA
    AA 4056 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 31m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 39m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:13 DCA → 11:33 ORD
    AA 523 · American · 2h 20m · 78% on time, 9.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Syracuse). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 39m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (9.9% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 30mSYR 06:03 to ORD 11:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.