tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Syracuse → Detroit via Washington: arrives on time 37%

  1. 06:03 SYR → 07:34 DCA
    AA 4056 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 31m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:20 DCA → 10:05 DTW
    AA 5550 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 45m · 58% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip4h 02mSYR 06:03 to DTW 10:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.