Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Little Rock → Phoenix via Chicago: arrives on time 25%

  1. 19:35 LIT → 21:40 ORD
    AA 4062 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 10m · 59% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:34 ORD → 00:14 PHX +1 day
    AA 2786 · American · 3h 39m · 55% on time, 11.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Little Rock). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (11.1% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip6h 38mLIT 19:35 to PHX 00:14, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.