tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rapid City → Denver via Phoenix: arrives on time 70%

  1. 11:44 RAP → 13:15 PHX
    AA 4070 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 31m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 09m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:24 PHX → 18:16 DEN
    AA 1638 · American · 1h 52m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 84 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip6h 32mRAP 11:44 to DEN 18:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.