tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → Newark via Miami: arrives on time 45%

  1. 18:19 CMH → 21:02 MIA
    AA 4085 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 43m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 MIA → 00:59 EWR +1 day
    AA 2008 · American · 2h 59m · 62% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 40mCMH 18:19 to EWR 00:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.