tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → Las Vegas via Miami: arrives on time 40%

  1. 18:19 CMH → 21:02 MIA
    AA 4085 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 43m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 MIA → 23:59 LAS
    AA 3076 · American · 5h 09m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Columbus). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip8h 40mCMH 18:19 to LAS 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.