tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Miami via Chicago: arrives on time 65%

  1. 05:06 XNA → 07:12 ORD
    AA 4088 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 06m · 86% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 ORD → 12:43 MIA
    AA 1250 · American · 3h 15m · 75% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 39mXNA 05:06 to MIA 12:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.