Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 57%

  1. 05:06 XNA → 07:12 ORD
    AA 4088 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 06m · 86% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:00 ORD → 10:59 DCA
    AA 2345 · American · 1h 59m · 77% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 53mXNA 05:06 to DCA 10:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.