tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Salt Lake City via Chicago: arrives on time 79%

  1. 05:06 XNA → 07:12 ORD
    AA 4088 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 06m · 86% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 53m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 ORD → 12:35 SLC
    AA 2616 · American · 3h 31m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 128 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 53m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 30mXNA 05:06 to SLC 12:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.