tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Miami via Chicago: arrives on time 71%

  1. 05:06 XNA → 07:12 ORD
    AA 4088 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 06m · 86% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:33 ORD → 14:57 MIA
    UA 1620 · United · 3h 24m · 77% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 111 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip8h 51mXNA 05:06 to MIA 14:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.