tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Phoenix via Chicago: arrives on time 80%

  1. 05:06 XNA → 07:12 ORD
    AA 4088 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 06m · 86% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:02 ORD → 11:03 PHX
    UA 2225 · United · 4h 01m · 95% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 50m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip7h 57mXNA 05:06 to PHX 11:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.