tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Miami via Chicago: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 CVG → 06:32 ORD
    AA 4094 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 32m · 82% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 32m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:04 ORD → 14:16 MIA
    AA 1474 · American · 3h 13m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 167 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 32m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 17mCVG 06:00 to MIA 14:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.