tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Phoenix via Chicago: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:00 CVG → 06:32 ORD
    AA 4094 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 32m · 82% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:02 ORD → 11:03 PHX
    UA 2225 · United · 4h 01m · 95% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Hebron). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip8h 03mCVG 06:00 to PHX 11:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.