tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Raleigh/Durham via Chicago: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:00 CVG → 06:32 ORD
    AA 4094 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 32m · 82% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 57m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:29 ORD → 12:48 RDU
    AA 4756 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 19m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 132 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 57m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 48mCVG 06:00 to RDU 12:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.