tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Portland via Sacramento: arrives on time 97%

  1. 07:15 PHX → 09:21 SMF
    AA 4099 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 06m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:46 SMF → 13:18 PDX
    AS 621 · Alaska · 1h 32m · 100% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time97%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (100%).
Total trip6h 03mPHX 07:15 to PDX 13:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.