tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Appleton via Detroit: arrives on time 79%

  1. 07:30 ORD → 10:03 DTW
    AA 4103 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 34m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:58 DTW → 13:25 ATW
    DL 4696 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 27m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 55mORD 07:30 to ATW 13:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.