tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Tampa via St Louis: arrives on time 86%

  1. 07:05 ORD → 08:31 STL
    AA 4104 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 27m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 34m layover in St Louis (STL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:05 STL → 13:25 TPA
    WN 3986 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 34m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 20mORD 07:05 to TPA 13:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.