tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tucson → Dallas-Fort Worth via Phoenix: arrives on time 45%

  1. 18:30 TUS → 19:29 PHX
    AA 4126 · American, flown by Envoy · 59m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:21 PHX → 00:48 DFW +1 day
    AA 2603 · American · 2h 27m · 61% on time, 10.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Tucson). Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (10.2% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip4h 18mTUS 18:30 to DFW 00:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.