tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tucson → San Diego via Phoenix: arrives on time 50%

  1. 18:30 TUS → 19:29 PHX
    AA 4126 · American, flown by Envoy · 59m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:20 PHX → 21:34 SAN
    AA 559 · American · 1h 14m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip3h 04mTUS 18:30 to SAN 21:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.