tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Chicago via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 71%

  1. 05:00 BHM → 07:13 DFW
    AA 4127 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 13m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:30 DFW → 11:10 ORD
    AA 1059 · American · 2h 40m · 83% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 10mBHM 05:00 to ORD 11:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.