tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Washington via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 77%

  1. 05:00 BHM → 07:13 DFW
    AA 4127 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 13m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 37m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:50 DFW → 12:52 DCA
    AA 1177 · American · 3h 02m · 85% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 52 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 37m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 52mBHM 05:00 to DCA 12:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.