tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Charlotte via Washington: arrives on time 47%

  1. 13:59 TVC → 15:59 DCA
    AA 4138 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 00m · 73% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 08m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:07 DCA → 20:55 CLT
    AA 3263 · American · 1h 48m · 52% on time, 2.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 143 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 08m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.3% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip6h 56mTVC 13:59 to CLT 20:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.