tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Nashville via Miami: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:15 SRQ → 07:17 MIA
    AA 4139 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 02m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:21 MIA → 09:47 BNA
    AA 1521 · American · 2h 24m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (93%).
Total trip4h 30mSRQ 06:15 to BNA 09:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.