tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → St Louis via Miami: arrives on time 89%

  1. 06:15 SRQ → 07:17 MIA
    AA 4139 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 02m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:23 MIA → 10:24 STL
    AA 3954 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 01m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (St Louis is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip5h 09mSRQ 06:15 to STL 10:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.