tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Newark via Miami: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:15 SRQ → 07:17 MIA
    AA 4139 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 02m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Miami (MIA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:48 MIA → 11:54 EWR
    UA 408 · United · 3h 06m · 88% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip5h 39mSRQ 06:15 to EWR 11:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.