tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 71%

  1. 11:32 VPS → 14:14 ORD
    AA 4153 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 42m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:27 ORD → 21:00 JFK
    B6 406 · JetBlue · 2h 36m · 80% on time, 9.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 103 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (9.1% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 31mVPS 11:32 to JFK 21:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.