tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Valparaiso → Baltimore via Chicago: arrives on time 51%

  1. 11:32 VPS → 14:14 ORD
    AA 4153 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 42m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 04m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:18 ORD → 19:28 BWI
    AA 4717 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 13m · 61% on time, 12.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 79 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 04m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (12.5% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 59mVPS 11:32 to BWI 19:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.