tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Kalispell via Chicago: arrives on time 59%

  1. 10:31 MSP → 12:16 ORD
    AA 4162 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 45m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:16 ORD → 16:02 FCA
    AA 1844 · American · 3h 46m · 67% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kalispell is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 31mMSP 10:31 to FCA 16:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.