tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Asheville via Chicago: arrives on time 63%

  1. 10:31 MSP → 12:16 ORD
    AA 4162 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 45m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:29 ORD → 18:25 AVL
    AA 3406 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 56m · 67% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Asheville is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 54mMSP 10:31 to AVL 18:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.