tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Knoxville via Chicago: arrives on time 49%

  1. 10:31 MSP → 12:16 ORD
    AA 4162 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 45m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 57m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:13 ORD → 18:02 TYS
    AA 3783 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 49m · 52% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Knoxville is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 132 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 57m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip6h 31mMSP 10:31 to TYS 18:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.