tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Syracuse via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 10:31 MSP → 12:16 ORD
    AA 4162 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 45m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:23 ORD → 16:26 SYR
    AA 3819 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 03m · 84% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Syracuse is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip4h 55mMSP 10:31 to SYR 16:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.