tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → New York via Minneapolis: arrives on time 79%

  1. 08:22 ORD → 10:06 MSP
    AA 4162 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 46m · 91% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 47m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:53 MSP → 17:00 JFK
    DL 2661 · Delta · 3h 07m · 84% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 77 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 47m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 38mORD 08:22 to JFK 17:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.