tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Bozeman via Minneapolis: arrives on time 86%

  1. 08:22 ORD → 10:06 MSP
    AA 4162 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 46m · 91% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 11m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:17 MSP → 14:48 BZN
    DL 2946 · Delta · 2h 33m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 11m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 28mORD 08:22 to BZN 14:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.