tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 38%

  1. 18:29 ORF → 20:15 ORD
    AA 4164 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 46m · 72% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:20 ORD → 23:52 BNA
    AA 2556 · American · 1h 32m · 44% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip6h 23mORF 18:29 to BNA 23:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.