Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Chicago via Phoenix: arrives on time 34%

  1. 16:21 RNO → 18:14 PHX
    AA 4165 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 53m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:09 PHX → 00:51 ORD +1 day
    AA 3137 · American · 3h 42m · 58% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 30mRNO 16:21 to ORD 00:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.