tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → Dallas-Fort Worth via Phoenix: arrives on time 29%

  1. 16:21 RNO → 18:14 PHX
    AA 4165 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 53m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:00 PHX → 23:25 DFW
    AA 633 · American · 2h 25m · 60% on time, 8.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Reno). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (8.7% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip5h 04mRNO 16:21 to DFW 23:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.