tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 67%

  1. 06:22 BHM → 08:49 ORD
    AA 4181 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 27m · 86% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 ORD → 11:36 BNA
    AA 1650 · American · 1h 37m · 78% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 15mBHM 06:22 to BNA 11:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.