tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tucson → Las Vegas via Phoenix: arrives on time 77%

  1. 08:39 TUS → 09:37 PHX
    AA 4187 · American, flown by Envoy · 58m · 93% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:24 PHX → 11:37 LAS
    AA 2037 · American · 1h 13m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 2h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip2h 58mTUS 08:39 to LAS 11:37, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.