tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 65%

  1. 12:27 TVC → 12:58 ORD
    AA 4190 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 31m · 90% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:19 ORD → 18:29 PHL
    AA 2925 · American · 2h 10m · 71% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 02mTVC 12:27 to PHL 18:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.