tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Boston via Chicago: arrives on time 56%

  1. 12:27 TVC → 12:58 ORD
    AA 4190 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 31m · 90% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:13 ORD → 19:57 BOS
    AA 4384 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 51m · 62% on time, 6.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (6.8% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip7h 37mTVC 12:27 to BOS 19:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.